Number 1. Since the Original Golden Cross Trading Strategy got a 42 percent win rate, one can expect a similar win rate with this modified Golden Cross, after all, all we are doing is replacing the slower moving average with a faster one. But surprisingly, the win rate was actually better. In the Trading Rush App, the profit graph of the original Golden Cross went in the upward direction at the beginning, but then started a downtrend and didn’t really came back in the positive territory until the very end. Now remember, both strategies were tested on the same pair, same timeframe, and almost the same market structure. But if you look at the profit graph of the Weighted Moving Average Golden Cross, you will see that it is more consistently going in the upward direction. In fact, it never went into the negative territory at the start even though the market structure was the same.
Why? Why changing a simple thing as a moving average is making such a noticeable difference? There is not much difference between the Weighted and Simple Moving Average, right? Well, when the market movement is really good and the price is making big moves, you won’t notice much of a difference between the entry signals of the two moving averages. One will be earlier than the other, but compared to the big moves price makes in a good trend, they are not that far from each other.
But the problem is clearly visible in the slow-moving markets. As you already know, the price stays in a range most of the time. And when the trend is slow, the weighted moving average is like the Usain Bolt of moving averages, and the SMA is like a turtle. In the slow trending market, the WMA was so fast at reacting to the direction change, that the entry signals it gave were actually profitable. On the other hand, the simple moving average was so slow compared to the WMA, the entry signals were generated near the end of the trend. This is where the Weighted Golden Cross took the lead. This is where the Simple Golden Cross lost money, but Weighted Golden Cross made money.
And as you can see in the Trading Rush App, the Weighted Golden Cross Trading Strategy got a win rate of approximately 48 percent with a 1.5 to 1 reward risk ratio, which is much better than the Original Golden Cross Trading Strategy. When we tested the simple golden cross last time, it made a profit of 500. Profit is still a profit, but the weighted Golden Cross because of the faster and better entry signals, made a profit of 2000 which is a lot better. It lost 7 trades in a row and won 4 trades in a row. The best part is the profit graph. The profit graph of the weighted Golden Cross is more consistent and looks way better than the profit graph of the Simple Golden Cross.
5.8 + 7.5 + 6 + 6.5 + 7.3 = 33.1
And now, if we give the Faster Golden Cross Trading Strategy a Trading Rush Score, you will see that it gets a 33.1 out of 50. And if you come to the Official Trading Rush Website, you will see that it ranks 7th from the top, just below the Ichimoku Cloud, and above the Alligator Trading Strategy. And for reference, the Simple Golden Cross ranks 23rd from the top. So we can say that the Weighted Moving Average definitely improved the Winrate of the Golden Cross Trading Strategy.
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