If you are new to trading, and if you have a trading strategy that produces a win rate of higher than 50 percent with 1 is to 1 reward risk, do not use a reward risk ratio higher than 1. If you do, you will increase your chances of losing trades multiple times in a row. Let me give you an example.

Lets say, you enter a long trade, and you set the stop loss according to your stop loss strategy. Now, to get a 1 is to 1 reward risk ratio, you simply set your profit target at the same distance as your stop loss. As you can tell, this is a 1 is to 1 reward risk trade.

Now, every trade is like a coin toss. The price will either go in the upward direction, or in the downward direction. And with a reward risk of 1 is to 1 including commission, there is a 50 50 chance of winning as you will either lose or win the same amount.

But, If your trading strategy has a win rate of 55 percent. In the long run, you will be profitable. You will win more times than the number of losing trades. That’s Obvious.

But if you try to increase the profit potential to get the 2 is to 1 reward to risk ratio, you will actually decrease the win rate of your strategy, because price will have to move twice the distance than before. So your strategy that was giving 55 win rate with 1 is to 1 reward risk ratio, no longer gives that win rate. The new win rate will be much lower.

Some beginner traders don’t see this fact, and start trading with reward risk ratios that are very high. Like i said before, by using higher reward risk ratios like 3 is to 1, beginner traders are increasing their chance to get multiple losing trades in a row. This can lead them into believing that their strategy doesn’t work at all. Their strategies do work, but only with their proper reward risk ratios.

Then what reward risk ratio should a new trader use?
Since many beginner traders lack experience to analyse the overall market direction, it is recommended that they use a simple but effective trading strategy, like the MACD strategy that gives around 60 percent win rate, and with that use a 1 is to 1 reward risk ratio. That’s right. Using a reward risk of 1 is to 1, will help you win trades more consistently than you would with a higher ratio. This will also help with the Trading psychology as a beginner trader. Not losing multiple trades in a row will keep your mind stress free while looking for new opportunities.

Once you are comfortable with 1 is to 1 reward risk ratio, try increasing the profit potential with 1.5 is to 1 ratio. This will slightly decrease the win rate of your strategy. But by using this ratio, you will make money even if you lose one and win one.

You have probably seen a similar chart that shows the win rate required to break even. As a new trader, Instead of looking only at the break even percentage, you should also pay attention to the probability of losing multiple times in a row with different reward risk ratios. Here’s a modified chart. As you can see, the higher the reward risk ratio, the higher is the probability of getting multiple losing trades in a row. This is because, price has to travel more distance to reach your profit target, than it has to reach your stop loss. And as you already know, most of the time market is moving sideways. To get a very good reward risk ratio like 3 to 1, the price has to be in a very strong trend, and that doesn’t happen all the time.

So what is the best reward risk ratio in trading?

Well, it depends on what you are trying to achieve. If you are looking for consistent profit, you reward risk ratios between 1 to 1 and 1.5 to 1.
If you can handle the possibility of losing multiple trades in a row, use reward risk ratios that are higher than 2.
Since most Human Minds would prefer winning instead of losing, it is better to use the lower reward risk ratios, especially if you are just starting out. This way, your mind will be at peace while trading, and you won’t get paranoid by looking at the list of losses on your trading platform.

You have probably seen some traders move their stop loss to break even once the trade crosses 1 is to 1 reward risk ratio. They do that to remove the possibility of losing the trade when it has already crossed the 1 is to 1 reward risk ratio. Unless there is a strong catalyst that is moving the price in a strong trend, the probability of the trend reversing is higher, since most of the time market moves in a range. By moving the stop loss to break even, traders are simply eliminating the chances of losing money if the direction of the trend reverses, before the price reaches their higher reward risk ratios like 3 is to 1.

What about trailing stop loss? is that better? Well, it depends. There are different ways to trail the stop loss. If you trail your stop loss very close to the price, the price will touch your stop loss, since most of the time price won’t reach your profit target in straight line. But by trailing your stop loss, you will get consistent small profits and small losses. With a trailing stop loss, If the price moves strongly in your favor, you will get a good reward risk ratio. If it immediately goes towards your stop loss, you will lose your original risk. But if the price goes in your favor, and does some choppy price action before hitting the profit target, you will make a small profit with the trailing stop loss.

Here are some Key KEY TAKEAWAYS from this video.
Number 1: Reward Risk Ratio and Win rate, are inversely proportional to each other. If the reward risk ratio goes up, the Win Rate goes down. Similarly, if the reward risk ratio goes down, the win rate goes up.

Number 2: Since Most Human Minds prefer winning instead of losing, as a new trader, you should use a reward risk ratios that are lower than 2 is to 1.

Number 3. The Recommended Reward Risk ratios for consistent profit are 1 is to 1, 1.5 is to 1. And if you are a little bit experienced in analyzing the overall market direction, maybe 2 is to 1.

That’s all. Now you know little bit more about the reward risk ratios. Hopefully, this will help out the new traders with choosing the right reward risk ratios.
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